Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 3.440211 3.837489 4.268513 4.771929 5.345064 5.978761 6.734523
2025-03-02 2.779470 3.292448 3.888911 4.637520 5.557298 6.657279 8.082522
2025-03-09 2.390101 2.959876 3.657498 4.582198 5.787170 7.319879 9.442317
2025-03-16 2.108882 2.705653 3.467201 4.522392 5.965624 7.898401 10.730241
2025-03-23 1.977781 2.618921 3.468082 4.693040 6.444743 8.905834 12.709267
2025-03-30 1.811943 2.463419 3.353589 4.682271 6.656075 9.546684 14.227806
2025-04-06 1.664936 2.316752 3.232302 4.641127 6.807050 10.101034 15.670138
2025-04-13 1.482080 2.101624 2.991654 4.395935 6.617131 10.103441 16.216052
2025-04-20 1.391985 2.013080 2.926580 4.406381 6.818656 10.734725 17.875847
2025-04-27 1.332767 1.964751 2.915911 4.497236 7.153287 11.613095 20.075236
2025-05-04 1.278412 1.918771 2.903610 4.581642 7.481635 12.511553 22.430635
2025-05-11 1.221242 1.863513 2.871225 4.627867 7.745787 13.321629 24.728597
2025-05-18 1.165170 1.807577 2.835896 4.670222 8.015446 14.188006 27.304290
2025-05-25 1.082159 1.702137 2.711355 4.546884 7.972094 14.463478 28.716045
2025-06-01 1.020088 1.626853 2.631360 4.494474 8.053226 14.984576 30.725445
2025-06-08 0.962662 1.555394 2.552414 4.436341 8.115852 15.473022 32.736159
2025-06-15 0.946782 1.553555 2.593704 4.603321 8.634875 16.956556 37.279768
2025-06-22 0.904321 1.502554 2.543947 4.592806 8.794468 17.698448 40.182099
2025-06-29 0.860806 1.446893 2.481788 4.552571 8.887547 18.304634 42.850690
2025-07-06 0.792476 1.342915 2.324671 4.312744 8.535882 17.873818 42.775266
2025-07-13 0.763228 1.308085 2.293596 4.322963 8.723431 18.700097 46.183758
2025-07-20 0.746094 1.294343 2.301035 4.411834 9.092247 19.997786 51.136063
2025-07-27 0.729034 1.279630 2.305443 4.494392 9.454998 21.328023 56.454124